ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 122327 
SPC MCD 122327 
TXZ000-130130-

Mesoscale Discussion 0163
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0627 PM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025

Areas affected...portions of central and eastern Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29...

Valid 122327Z - 130130Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29
continues.

SUMMARY...Local risk for hail and/or damaging wind gusts continues
across portions of eastern Texas in and near WW #29.

DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a broken band of generally
short-lived/disorganized updrafts near/ahead of a central Texas
dryline.  Daytime heating/warm temperatures have allowed what
low-level moisture previously existed to become well-mixed through a
fairly deep afternoon boundary layer.  Therefore, despite steep
mid-level lapse rates, storms have thus far struggled to organize --
likely in part due to the relatively dry troposphere.

With that said, storms are approaching an axis of greater
mixed-layer CAPE (per RAP-based objective analysis).  As such, and
given the favorable background kinematic environment, risk for hail
and locally damaging wind gusts continues within WW #29.

..Goss.. 03/12/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX...

LAT...LON   30279776 31039710 31659609 32329583 32779499 32769409
            31619420 30639450 30099651 30279776 

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