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Mesoscale Discussion 651
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MD 651 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0651
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0147 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025

   Areas affected...portions of far eastern Texas...central and
   northern Louisiana...and central Mississippi

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211...

   Valid 021847Z - 022045Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The severe threat continues across Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch 211. Large hail and damaging gusts remain the primary threats.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple multicellular clusters and transient
   supercells have oscillated in intensity across portions of far
   eastern TX into central MS over the past few hours, with a few
   reports of marginal severe hail received. These storms continue to
   progress eastward into a moderately unstable airmass (i.e. 1500-2500
   J/kg MLCAPE), but relatively weak deep-layer shear. As such, the
   expectation is for multicellular clusters to continue fluctuating in
   strength through the afternoon, with strong/damaging gusts and large
   hail possible with a subset of storms at the peak of their
   intensity.

   ..Squitieri.. 05/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...

   LAT...LON   31459480 32689225 33809018 33708866 33088844 32288929
               31169155 30759270 30619347 30739445 31459480 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN

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Page last modified: May 02, 2025
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