ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 022235 SPC MCD 022235 LAZ000-TXZ000-030030- Mesoscale Discussion 0660 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0535 PM CDT Fri May 02 2025 Areas affected...mid/upper Texas coastal plain into southwestern Louisiana Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211...212... Valid 022235Z - 030030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 211, 212 continues. SUMMARY...A renewed intensification of thunderstorms, after some weakening, still appears possible into early evening, accompanied by a risk for strong to severe wind gusts as activity advances southeastward toward coastal areas. DISCUSSION...Vigorous convective development along/ahead of the slowly southward advancing cold front continues to merge with convection developing along outflow surging northwestward across the coastal plain, now roughly along a corridor extending from near Lufkin into the San Antonio vicinity. Substantive cooling of cloud tops has been occurring, but unstable inflow into ongoing convection is becoming at least temporarily disrupted. The boundary layer across the mid/upper coastal plain remains seasonably moist and potential unstable. Beneath a difluent upper regime, and 35-45+ kt westerly mid-level flow, increasing southeasterly inflow of this airmass into the updrafts of the consolidating convection might still support renewed convective intensification within the next few hours. At the same time, entrainment of initially dry mid-level air may contribute to further strengthening of downdrafts and increasing potential for strong to severe surface gusts, as convection begins to propagate toward coastal areas. Already several gusts approaching severe limits have recently been observed along the corridor of consolidating convection. ..Kerr.. 05/02/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...CRP...EWX... LAT...LON 29989808 30699650 31459494 31739397 31079258 29729389 29049522 28559744 29029851 29989808 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN NNNN