ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 100755 
SPC MCD 100755 
FLZ000-ALZ000-101030-

Mesoscale Discussion 0755
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0255 AM CDT Sat May 10 2025

Areas affected...Far south AL into the FL Panhandle

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 100755Z - 101030Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Some increase in isolated wind-damage and tornado
potential is possible overnight.

DISCUSSION...In the wake of a remnant MCS moving across the
northeast Gulf vicinity, some low-level moistening is expected with
time overnight near coastal AL and the FL Panhandle, to the east of
a surface low that is forecast to track from east of New Orleans to
near Mobile. As this occurs, a midlevel vorticity maximum rotating
through a broad mid/upper-level trough/low will aid in renewed
vigorous storm development near/east of the surface low, which is
already ongoing south of Mobile. 

Veering wind profiles within the low-level warm advection regime
will support organized convection. Uncertainty remains regarding the
extent of inland destabilization, but there will be some potential
for locally damaging wind and possibly a tornado for near-coastal
areas, within the moistening and favorably sheared environment.

..Dean/Guyer.. 05/10/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...TAE...MOB...

LAT...LON   30578824 30758780 30748719 30718651 30618594 30518567
            30288574 30008587 29858605 29758630 29728646 29748669
            29808710 29918790 30038828 30398830 30578824 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH

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