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Mesoscale Discussion 757
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MD 757 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 0757
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0758 AM CDT Sat May 10 2025

   Areas affected...North FL into far southeast GA

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 101258Z - 101430Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Strong to locally severe storms are possible this morning.

   DISCUSSION...A long-lived MCS has moved inland across the FL Big
   Bend region this morning. This system has generally been subsevere
   thus far since moving inland and has shown signs of weakening, but
   filtered downstream heating of a moist airmass will result in MLCAPE
   approaching 1000 J/kg with time this morning. This could allow some
   intensification as the remnant storm cluster approaches northeast
   FL, with an attendant threat of locally damaging winds. Storms
   developing ahead of this cluster could also approach severe limits
   through the morning.

   ..Dean/Guyer.. 05/10/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TBW...JAX...TAE...

   LAT...LON   29698296 30588205 31028161 31008129 30318123 30018120
               29718114 29528125 29448161 29368196 29318228 29278265
               29698296 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

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Page last modified: May 10, 2025
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