Mesoscale Discussion 0949
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0553 AM CDT Sat May 24 2025

   Areas affected...portions of eastern OK into western AR

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 315...

   Valid 241053Z - 241300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 315
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A fast moving line of storms will continue shifting
   southeast across eastern Oklahoma and possibly western Arkansas the
   next few hours. Severe gusts to 70 mph is the main hazard with these
   storms, though isolated large hail is also possible.

   DISCUSSION...A robust line of storms over north-central and
   northeast OK will continue shifting southeast at around 50 kt this
   morning. This well-organized convection has produced many gusts in
   the 65-75 mph range over the past hour. The expectation is that
   these storms will continue to shift southeast along the MUCAPE
   gradient within a northwesterly flow regime aloft and on the nose of
   a 30-40 kt southwesterly low-level jet. While some weakening is
   possible moving into the diurnal minimum, the overall parameter
   space will support continued storm organization and severe gusts to
   70 mph appear likely for at least another couple of hours across
   eastern portions of WW 315.

   Another cluster of strong/severe storms is ongoing across southeast
   OK. While these storms have weakened compared to 1-2 hours ago,
   sporadic large hail and strong gusts may persist in the short term.
   Trends will be monitored for possible downstream watch issuance.

   ..Leitman.. 05/24/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36999541 36409452 35429405 35379398 34759402 34349430
               34069496 34029551 34259616 34619655 36099724 36619685
               36939605 36999541 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN