Mesoscale Discussion 0994
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0346 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025

   Areas affected...west-central into south-central Alabama

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 262046Z - 262215Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

   SUMMARY...The need for an additional severe thunderstorm watch is
   uncertain.  At least a localized damaging wind risk will spread into
   Alabama late this afternoon into the early evening.

   DISCUSSION...A linear thunderstorm cluster currently extends from
   I-20 in east-central MS southward into southern MS, and it is moving
   east around 35 mph.  The airmass ahead of the storms has warmed into
   the upper 80s to lower 90s with dewpoints ranging from the upper 60s
   to lower 70s.  Although the 850-300 mb mean wind is moderate in
   strength, steepened 0-3 km lapse rates (7-8 deg C/km) amidst a high
   PW airmass (approaching 2 inches) will favor sporadic surges with
   the linear band and more intense water-loaded downdrafts.  As a
   result, at least localized/isolated 50-65 mph gusts capable of wind
   damage are forecast to eventually spread east of Severe Thunderstorm
   Watch #330.  The overall coverage of damaging gusts is uncertain and
   convective trends will be monitored regarding the need for an
   additional small severe thunderstorm watch.

   ..Smith/Guyer.. 05/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...

   LAT...LON   31898844 32648833 32688695 32518650 32028639 31248678
               30888838 31898844 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH