Mesoscale Discussion 1033
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0914 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025

   Areas affected...northwest OK and the eastern TX Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345...

   Valid 290214Z - 290345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 345
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Primary severe threat area through late evening is
   expected to evolve from parts of the eastern Texas Panhandle into a
   greater portion of northwest Oklahoma. A mix of severe wind and hail
   is anticipated.

   DISCUSSION...Leading storm clusters consisting of a couple
   supercells along the north-northeast end and outflow-dominated
   convection to its southwest will likely persist east-southeast
   through late evening. This activity should be sustained by a
   moderate low-level jet, as sampled by VNX and AMA VWP data, with a
   residual plume of modest buoyancy emanating north from western north
   TX. A mix of sporadic severe wind and hail should remain the primary
   hazards amid modest storm motion of 25-30 kts. This activity still
   seems likely to remain largely separate from an upstream corridor of
   elevated storms across southern KS, but may eventually merge along
   the northeast portion. Given nocturnal weakening of instability and
   increasing MLCIN across the TX Panhandle, the overall severe threat
   should become more confined into OK with a gradual weakening of
   intensity tonight.

   ..Grams.. 05/29/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36340070 36350004 36479957 36719902 36769840 36299810
               35879826 35609848 35269884 35219981 35430059 35660104
               35830115 36340070 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN