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Mesoscale Discussion 1059
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MD 1059 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1059
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0622 AM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025

   Areas affected...Southern Oklahoma...North Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351...

   Valid 011122Z - 011315Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 351
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A few strong thunderstorms, with isolated severe gusts or
   hail, will be possible over the next few hours. However, any threat
   should remain localized, and weather watch issuance is not expected
   to the south of the current watch.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of thunderstorms is ongoing in south-central
   Oklahoma, which is near a 500 mb jet analyzed by the RAP. This
   cluster will continue to move southward across the remainder of
   Oklahoma into parts of north Texas over the next few hours. Any
   severe threat associated with the cluster will likely remain
   localized and brief, primarily due to weak instability. For this
   reason, weather watch issuance is not expected to the south of the
   ongoing watch. 

   As the outflow boundary, associated with the cluster, stalls over
   north Texas later this morning, it will likely become a focus for
   new convective development. Through that time, the situation will
   continue to be monitored for changes in severe weather potential.

   ..Broyles/Bunting.. 06/01/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   33829886 34409904 34869865 34989811 34849746 34579640
               34239605 33879604 33419633 33319697 33499794 33829886 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

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