Mesoscale Discussion 1083
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0633 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

   Areas affected...Southeast CO into western KS

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356...358...

   Valid 022333Z - 030100Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 356, 358
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe gusts near/above 75 mph are possible this evening,
   along with some localized potential for hail and possibly a tornado.

   DISCUSSION...The strongest portion of a loosely organized,
   outflow-driven storm cluster is moving across southwest KS early
   this evening. Strong to locally extreme downstream buoyancy and a
   strengthening low-level jet will help to maintain this storm cluster
   as it moves northeastward, with some further intensification
   possible as it encounters richer low-level moisture. With steep
   environmental lapse rates and the outflow dominance of the ongoing
   convection, severe wind is expected to remain the most common
   hazard, with gusts near/above 75 mph possible. The stronger embedded
   updrafts may also produce isolated hail, given the favorable
   instability. Also, while the bulk of convection will likely remain
   outflow dominant, gradually enlarging low-level hodographs could
   support a localized tornado threat, either with line-embedded
   circulations, or if any supercells can become established within the
   larger storm cluster. 

   Farther west, while convection is less extensive into southeast CO,
   some redevelopment remains possible along the northward-moving
   outflow, with some severe threat potentially spreading into
   east-central CO.

   ..Dean.. 06/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...PUB...

   LAT...LON   37750292 38880308 39400206 39570037 39039955 37729908
               37259949 37060070 37770142 37750292 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN