Mesoscale Discussion 1097
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0507 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025

   Areas affected...Northeast WI into southern Upper MI

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 032207Z - 032330Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind and perhaps a tornado are possible
   into early evening.

   DISCUSSION...A small storm cluster has recently become better
   organized northwest of Green Bay, with some indication of low-topped
   supercell development. Wind profiles are quite favorable for
   organized convection, with strong deep-layer shear and 0-1 km SRH of
   100-200 m2/s2. Buoyancy is quite modest, with MLCAPE generally 500
   J/kg or less, but some modest heating/moistening is occurring
   downstream, and a localized threat of damaging wind and possibly a
   tornado may continue until this convection reaches the lake.

   ..Dean/Hart.. 06/03/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...

   LAT...LON   45038863 45348845 45838797 45918757 45698736 44878731
               44568739 44338780 44248835 44308917 44488901 45038863 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN