ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 032207 
SPC MCD 032207 
WIZ000-MIZ000-032330-

Mesoscale Discussion 1097
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0507 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025

Areas affected...Northeast WI into southern Upper MI

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

Valid 032207Z - 032330Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Locally damaging wind and perhaps a tornado are possible
into early evening.

DISCUSSION...A small storm cluster has recently become better
organized northwest of Green Bay, with some indication of low-topped
supercell development. Wind profiles are quite favorable for
organized convection, with strong deep-layer shear and 0-1 km SRH of
100-200 m2/s2. Buoyancy is quite modest, with MLCAPE generally 500
J/kg or less, but some modest heating/moistening is occurring
downstream, and a localized threat of damaging wind and possibly a
tornado may continue until this convection reaches the lake.

..Dean/Hart.. 06/03/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MQT...GRB...

LAT...LON   45038863 45348845 45838797 45918757 45698736 44878731
            44568739 44338780 44248835 44308917 44488901 45038863 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

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