Mesoscale Discussion 1129
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0346 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025

   Areas affected...far eastern NM...TX South Plains

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 367...

   Valid 052046Z - 052245Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 367 continues.

   SUMMARY...Supercell hail and tornado potential increasing through 23
   UTC.  A strong tornado or two is probable once a dominant
   right-moving supercell becomes established.

   DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite/radar mosaic shows the
   outflow/differential heating zone and maturing updrafts becoming
   sustained along the boundary.  Enhanced storm-relative environmental
   helicity (SRH) and elongated hodographs and a very unstable airmass
   will strongly favor discrete supercell development.  Giant hail is
   forecast over the next 1-3 hours with the stronger supercells (3 to
   4 inches in diameter).  The tornado risk will markedly increase over
   the next 0.5 to 2 hours as storms begin to propagate within the
   moist boundary layer with backed low-level flow and enlarged
   hodographs.

   ..Smith.. 06/05/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   33480302 33560337 33810364 34250364 34610367 34790348
               34710307 34430285 33980275 33710255 33510259 33480302 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN