ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL ACUS11 KWNS 052046 SPC MCD 052046 TXZ000-NMZ000-052245- Mesoscale Discussion 1129 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0346 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025 Areas affected...far eastern NM...TX South Plains Concerning...Tornado Watch 367... Valid 052046Z - 052245Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 367 continues. SUMMARY...Supercell hail and tornado potential increasing through 23 UTC. A strong tornado or two is probable once a dominant right-moving supercell becomes established. DISCUSSION...Visible-satellite/radar mosaic shows the outflow/differential heating zone and maturing updrafts becoming sustained along the boundary. Enhanced storm-relative environmental helicity (SRH) and elongated hodographs and a very unstable airmass will strongly favor discrete supercell development. Giant hail is forecast over the next 1-3 hours with the stronger supercells (3 to 4 inches in diameter). The tornado risk will markedly increase over the next 0.5 to 2 hours as storms begin to propagate within the moist boundary layer with backed low-level flow and enlarged hodographs. ..Smith.. 06/05/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ... LAT...LON 33480302 33560337 33810364 34250364 34610367 34790348 34710307 34430285 33980275 33710255 33510259 33480302 MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...140-170 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN NNNN