Mesoscale Discussion 1130
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0351 PM CDT Thu Jun 05 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of the Texas Trans-Pecos

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 368...

   Valid 052051Z - 052215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 368
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Risk of very large hail continues across parts of the
   Texas Trans-Pecos.

   DISCUSSION...Splitting supercells are ongoing across the TX
   Trans-Pecos -- in an environment with long/fairly straight
   hodographs (around 40-50 kt of effective shear) and 2000-3000 J/kg
   MLCAPE. Given the continued splitting/semi-discrete mode, very large
   hail (3+ inches) remains the primary concern. In particular, a
   large/persistent supercell cluster undergoing additional storm
   merging west of Fort Stockton should pose a risk of very large hail
   and severe wind gusts -- especially given recent signs of southward
   propagation.

   ..Weinman.. 06/05/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   30030272 30360331 30920389 31430418 31720414 32010392
               32110357 31990317 31580287 30810196 30130209 30030272 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN