ZCZC SPCSWOMCD ALL
ACUS11 KWNS 061820 
SPC MCD 061820 
KYZ000-061915-

Mesoscale Discussion 1147
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0120 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

Areas affected...Eastern Kentucky

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

Valid 061820Z - 061915Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...A semi-organized band of storms with some wind damage
potential will spread eastward across eastern Kentucky through the
afternoon.  A severe thunderstorm watch is being considered.

DISCUSSION...Earlier multicell storm clusters have grown into a
somewhat organized band of storms across central KY, aided by 30 kt
midlevel flow sampled by the LMK VWP.  Given the downstream
environment with moderately large buoyancy (MLCAPE near 2000 J/kg)
and just enough westerly shear in the lowest 3-5 km AGL layer to
help maintain updrafts on the leading edge of the developing cold
pool, there is potential for some wind-damage threat to persist
through the afternoon into eastern KY.  For these reasons, a severe
thunderstorm watch is being considered within the next 30 minutes or
so.

..Thompson.. 06/06/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...JKL...ILN...LMK...

LAT...LON   37198268 36868337 36728402 36708459 36728511 36848530
            37158515 37508495 38088482 38318465 38478423 38428362
            38128313 37838268 37198268 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

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