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Mesoscale Discussion 1150 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1150
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0310 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025
Areas affected...Eastern Tennessee...northeast Alabama and far
northwest Georgia
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 062010Z - 062145Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorms with isolated wind damage and/or
marginally severe hail will persist for the next few hours, but the
need for a watch is uncertain.
DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorms have formed in the unstable
warm sector from northern AL into middle and eastern TN. This area
of convection is removed to the east-southeast of the remnant MCV
over southeast MO, and local VWPs show correspondingly weak
flow/vertical shear. Some loose clustering of storms may occur with
outflow mergers through late afternoon/evening, but it is not clear
that any organized clusters will emerge from the storm mergers.
Thus, it is not clear that a severe thunderstorm watch is necessary.
..Thompson/Smith.. 06/06/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...OHX...HUN...
LAT...LON 36578365 36128362 35578402 35208453 34858508 34608563
34548621 34608659 35058680 35838651 36268619 36518577
36608534 36578365
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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