Mesoscale Discussion 1160
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0618 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of the TX South Plains

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 379...

   Valid 062318Z - 070045Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 379 continues.

   SUMMARY...Intense supercells remain possible into this evening. The
   tornado threat may increase with time, along with a continued
   significant hail/wind risk.

   DISCUSSION...An intense supercell is ongoing at 23 UTC just east of
   Lubbock, with a history of producing very large hail. This supercell
   developed near an outflow boundary, and additional storms are
   ongoing farther west along the boundary near the TX/NM border.
   Moderate to strong buoyancy and favorable deep-layer shear will
   continue to support potential for intense supercells near the
   boundary, with a threat of very large hail and isolated but
   potentially significant severe gusts. 

   While the boundary layer remains rather warm, increasing moisture
   with eastward extent and a tendency for strengthening low-level
   shear/SRH with time will support increasing tornado potential,
   especially with supercells near/north of the outflow boundary, where
   surface winds are backed and richer low-level moisture is in place.

   ..Dean.. 06/06/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   34330307 34330177 34280049 33700019 32840018 32870240
               32970288 33240297 33560297 34330307 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN