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Mesoscale Discussion 1163
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MD 1163 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1163
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0726 PM CDT Fri Jun 06 2025

   Areas affected...portions of western Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 379...

   Valid 070026Z - 070130Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 379 continues.

   SUMMARY...A few tornadoes appear likely over the next couple of
   hours, and a strong tornado is possible. Otherwise, severe wind and
   very large hail will remain a concern.

   DISCUSSION...Right-moving, mature supercells have become established
   ahead of the dryline around the Lubbock, TX vicinity. The eastern
   storm has produced a well-defined outflow boundary, which the
   Hockley County storm has recently anchored to. Both of these storms
   are progressing across a highly buoyant airmass, where a low-level
   jet is also poised to intensify this evening, resulting in stronger
   low-level shear. Both of these storms are capable of producing
   tornadoes, in addition to 3+ inch diameter hail and severe gusts
   potentially exceeding 75 mph, especially in rear-flank downdrafts.
   The Hockley county storm appears to have the best chance at
   producing a strong tornado should it firmly anchor on the outflow
   boundary for extended periods of time.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/07/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...

   LAT...LON   33650263 33790220 33810123 33670036 33410020 33170043
               33130121 33140182 33250249 33380261 33650263 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN

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