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Mesoscale Discussion 1170 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1170
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0153 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025
Areas affected...portions of West Texas
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 070653Z - 070830Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent
SUMMARY...The large hail threat will persist for a few more hours
early this morning across parts of West Texas.
DISCUSSION...Supercells have persisted for several hours across
parts of West Texas, near the nose of a 35 to 40 knot low level jet
(as sampled by the KLBB VWP). As long as this low-level jet is
maintained across the region, expect some supercell threat to
persist given the moderate instability and strong shear in place.
These supercells are clearly elevated with a primary threat of large
hail and perhaps a few severe wind gusts. No watch is anticipated
given the relatively confined areal threat.
..Bentley/Hart.. 06/07/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...
LAT...LON 34260293 34270197 34220065 33780031 33550038 33490064
33640162 33750232 33920289 34180295 34260293
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN
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