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Mesoscale Discussion 1170
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MD 1170 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1170
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0153 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Areas affected...portions of West Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 070653Z - 070830Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...The large hail threat will persist for a few more hours
   early this morning across parts of West Texas.

   DISCUSSION...Supercells have persisted for several hours across
   parts of West Texas, near the nose of a 35 to 40 knot low level jet
   (as sampled by the KLBB VWP). As long as this low-level jet is
   maintained across the region, expect some supercell threat to
   persist given the moderate instability and strong shear in place.
   These supercells are clearly elevated with a primary threat of large
   hail and perhaps a few severe wind gusts. No watch is anticipated
   given the relatively confined areal threat.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/07/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...

   LAT...LON   34260293 34270197 34220065 33780031 33550038 33490064
               33640162 33750232 33920289 34180295 34260293 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN

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Page last modified: June 07, 2025
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