Mesoscale Discussion 1189
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0937 PM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Areas affected...parts of southeastern Oklahoma...northeastern
   Texas...southern Arkansas...northern Mississippi and adjacent
   southwestern Tennessee

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 389...

   Valid 080237Z - 080430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 389
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development
   continues and probably will persist through late evening.

   DISCUSSION...Widely scattered strong to severe thunderstorm
   development, including a couple of supercells, is ongoing, generally
   focused along a southward progressing near-surface confluence zone. 
   Objective analysis suggests that inhibition for the seasonably moist
   boundary layer has increased some, with the onset of surface
   cooling,  but stronger cells are likely still being maintained by
   inflow into updrafts of air characterized by CAPE of 2000-3000 J/kg.
    

   With subtle mid-level height falls slowly shifting southward across
   the Ark-La-Tex and Ark-La-Miss vicinities through late evening, at
   least widely scattered vigorous thunderstorm development probably
   will be maintained another several hours.  Probabilities for
   continuing isolated supercell development, with potential for a
   small upscale growing cluster, might be highest from the Oxford
   toward Columbus MS vicinities, where clockwise-curved low-level
   hodographs are largest, along the remnant trailing flank of an
   outflow boundary.

   ..Kerr.. 06/08/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MEG...JAN...LZK...SHV...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34709217 34928876 33158841 33199217 33199371 34269588
               34709217 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH