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Mesoscale Discussion 1201 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1201
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0135 PM CDT Sun Jun 08 2025
Areas affected...portions of LA and southwest MS
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible
Valid 081835Z - 082030Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent
SUMMARY...Thunderstorm clusters may produce sporadic strong gusts
this afternoon.
DISCUSSION...A cluster of storms across northern LA will continue to
propagate south/southeast this afternoon. Additional isolated storms
have also developed further south from central LA into southern MS,
likely along residual outflow and a band of differential heating.
Large-scale ascent is somewhat nebulous across the region, but a
band of moderate west/northwest flow aloft will persist. Strong
heating an dewpoints well into the 70s F is supporting strong
MLCAPE. Sporadic robust updrafts are possible over the next several
hours and occasional strong gusts will be possible. While a severe
thunderstorm watch is not expected immediately, trends will be
monitored.
..Leitman/Guyer.. 06/08/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...
LAT...LON 32389332 32639188 32059089 31069121 30729248 30899328
31729353 32149370 32389332
MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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