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Mesoscale Discussion 1236
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MD 1236 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1236
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1031 PM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

   Areas affected...portions of west Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405...

   Valid 100331Z - 100500Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe gusts will remain possible with an approaching MCS
   for at least a couple more hours.

   DISCUSSION...A mature, cold-pool-driven QLCS is propagating eastward
   into a modestly unstable airmass (1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE). MLCINH is
   increasing due to nocturnal cooling, which may gradually limit the
   severe threat with time. However, in the near-term, scattered strong
   to severe wind gusts will remain possible as the long as the cold
   pool remains deep and strong. 

   A severe hail threat may also accompany a left-split supercell as it
   approaches the southern bounds of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405.

   ..Squitieri.. 06/10/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   33050291 33540306 34220303 34590283 34720227 34560168
               34150123 33600111 33120132 32990185 33050291 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

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Page last modified: June 10, 2025
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