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Mesoscale Discussion 1236 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1236
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1031 PM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025
Areas affected...portions of west Texas
Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405...
Valid 100331Z - 100500Z
The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405
continues.
SUMMARY...Severe gusts will remain possible with an approaching MCS
for at least a couple more hours.
DISCUSSION...A mature, cold-pool-driven QLCS is propagating eastward
into a modestly unstable airmass (1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE). MLCINH is
increasing due to nocturnal cooling, which may gradually limit the
severe threat with time. However, in the near-term, scattered strong
to severe wind gusts will remain possible as the long as the cold
pool remains deep and strong.
A severe hail threat may also accompany a left-split supercell as it
approaches the southern bounds of Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405.
..Squitieri.. 06/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...ABQ...
LAT...LON 33050291 33540306 34220303 34590283 34720227 34560168
34150123 33600111 33120132 32990185 33050291
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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