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Mesoscale Discussion 1244 |
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Mesoscale Discussion 1244
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0439 PM CDT Tue Jun 10 2025
Areas affected...portions of northeastern Georgia into western South
Carolina
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 102139Z - 102315Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...Isolated damaging gusts cannot be ruled out with the
stronger cells embedded within a loosely organized MCS. A WW
issuance is not expected.
DISCUSSION...A loosely organized MCS continues to track eastward
amid a weakly forced/sheared environment. The MCS seems to be driven
primarily by modest cold pool organization from multicellular
mergers, with diurnal heating and associated surface-based buoyancy
being the main factors supporting convective sustenance. Given
1500-2000 J/kg MLCAPE preceding the MCS, a couple of strong,
damaging gusts may still occur over the next few hours. The severe
threat should remain sparse at best, precluding a WW issuance.
..Squitieri.. 06/10/2025
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...CAE...GSP...FFC...
LAT...LON 33278266 33458361 33648371 33908360 34218336 34428303
34538227 34368149 34088114 33678113 33448140 33278215
33278266
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
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