Mesoscale Discussion 1252
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0257 PM CDT Wed Jun 11 2025

   Areas affected...central Idaho...western Wyoming...southwestern
   Montana

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 111957Z - 112100Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...Scattered thunderstorm activity will pose a marginal risk
   for severe wind and hail through the afternoon.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered thunderstorm activity is ongoing across much
   of central ID into southwestern MT and western WY this afternoon. A
   few stronger cores have emerged over the last hour. Moisture remains
   somewhat modest but deep layer shear around 35-40 kts and steep
   lapse rates may support risk for a few instances of severe wind and
   hail through the afternoon/evening. This should largely be tied to
   the diurnal cycle, with weakening after sunset. Should more
   organized clusters along outflow occur, this may continue into
   central/eastern MT through the evening. Overall, the spatial extent
   of this threat should remain too localized to necessitate watch
   issuance.

   ..Thornton/Guyer.. 06/11/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...CYS...BYZ...RIW...GJT...TFX...SLC...PIH...MSO...
   BOI...PDT...

   LAT...LON   45191719 45911624 46451475 47091181 46961005 46110915
               45690895 43990754 43150693 41970700 41350788 40970957
               41961262 41801337 42631478 43351580 45191719 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN