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Mesoscale Discussion 1319
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MD 1319 graphic

   Mesoscale Discussion 1319
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0642 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of south-central Minnesota

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 423...

   Valid 162342Z - 170045Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 423 continues.

   SUMMARY...A locally favorable corridor for a couple tornadoes is
   evident over south-central Minnesota for the next hour or so.

   DISCUSSION...A pair of discrete supercells has evolved along the
   cold front west-southwest of the Minneapolis metro area. Ahead of
   these storms, the MPX VWP is sampling clockwise-curved low-level
   hodograph with around 210 m2/s2 0-1km SRH. This favorable streamwise
   vorticity and rich boundary-layer moisture (lower 70s dewpoints)
   will support a locally favorable corridor for a couple tornadoes
   over the next hour or so -- before moving into increased inhibition
   to the east.

   ..Weinman.. 06/16/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MPX...

   LAT...LON   44329417 44939368 45099334 45079288 44809265 44389291
               43989338 43929371 44069421 44329417 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN

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