Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 259
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central and Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Friday morning from 225 AM until 900 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
move rapidly northeast across the watch area early this morning.
Large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts will be the primary
severe weather hazard, although a tornado or two will also be
possible.Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
move rapidly northeast across the watch area early this morning.
Large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts will be the primary
severe weather hazard, although a tornado or two will also be
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south
southwest of Flippin AR to 20 miles north northeast of Bowling Green
KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24045.
...Bunting
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 259
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central and Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Friday morning from 225 AM until 900 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
move rapidly northeast across the watch area early this morning.
Large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts will be the primary
severe weather hazard, although a tornado or two will also be
possible.Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
move rapidly northeast across the watch area early this morning.
Large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts will be the primary
severe weather hazard, although a tornado or two will also be
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south
southwest of Flippin AR to 20 miles north northeast of Bowling Green
KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24045.
...Bunting
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 259 SEVERE TSTM AR IL IN KY MO TN 160725Z - 161400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30SSW FLP/FLIPPIN AR/ - 20NNE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /71NNW LIT - 20NNE BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 36669267 38118628 36378628 34939267
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 259 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 259
VALID 161330Z - 161440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW JBR
TO 35 ESE POF TO 45 WSW OWB TO 30 SW SDF.
..LEITMAN..05/16/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC093-161440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
ILC127-161440-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
MASSAC
$$
INC025-161440-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD
$$
KYC001-003-005-007-009-017-021-029-031-033-035-039-045-047-049-
053-055-057-061-067-073-075-079-083-085-087-093-097-099-103-105-
107-111-113-123-137-139-141-143-145-149-151-155-157-163-167-169-
171-177-179-181-183-185-207-209-211-213-215-217-219-221-227-229-
239-161440-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN ANDERSON
BALLARD BARREN BOURBON
BOYLE BULLITT BUTLER
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CASEY CHRISTIAN CLARK
CLINTON CRITTENDEN CUMBERLAND
EDMONSON FAYETTE FRANKLIN
FULTON GARRARD GRAVES
GRAYSON GREEN HARDIN
HARRISON HART HENRY
HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON
JESSAMINE LARUE LINCOLN
LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON
MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MADISON
MARION MARSHALL MEADE
MERCER METCALFE MONROE
MUHLENBERG NELSON NICHOLAS
OHIO OLDHAM RUSSELL
SCOTT SHELBY SIMPSON
SPENCER TAYLOR TODD
TRIGG WARREN WASHINGTON
WOODFORD
$$
MOC069-133-143-155-161440-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT
$$
TNC005-017-021-033-043-045-053-079-083-085-095-097-125-131-147-
161-183-161440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CROCKETT DICKSON DYER
GIBSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MONTGOMERY OBION ROBERTSON
STEWART WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 259
VALID 161145Z - 161240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..05/16/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-021-023-029-031-045-049-055-063-065-067-075-089-093-111-
121-129-135-137-141-145-161240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER CLAY CLEBURNE
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD FAULKNER
FULTON GREENE INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE
MARION MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
RANDOLPH SEARCY SHARP
STONE VAN BUREN WHITE
$$
ILC003-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-161240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JOHNSON MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC025-123-129-147-163-173-161240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD PERRY POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-027-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091-101-
105-107-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-213-219-221-225-227-
233-161240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BUTLER
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON HANCOCK HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG UNION
WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-223-161240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID PEMISCOT RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
$$
TNC005-017-021-033-043-045-053-079-083-085-095-097-125-131-147-
161-183-161240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CROCKETT DICKSON DYER
GIBSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MONTGOMERY OBION ROBERTSON
STEWART WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 259
VALID 161145Z - 161240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LEITMAN..05/16/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-021-023-029-031-045-049-055-063-065-067-075-089-093-111-
121-129-135-137-141-145-161240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER CLAY CLEBURNE
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD FAULKNER
FULTON GREENE INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE
MARION MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
RANDOLPH SEARCY SHARP
STONE VAN BUREN WHITE
$$
ILC003-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-161240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JOHNSON MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC025-123-129-147-163-173-161240-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD PERRY POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-027-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091-101-
105-107-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-213-219-221-225-227-
233-161240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BUTLER
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON HANCOCK HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG UNION
WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-223-161240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID PEMISCOT RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
$$
TNC005-017-021-033-043-045-053-079-083-085-095-097-125-131-147-
161-183-161240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CROCKETT DICKSON DYER
GIBSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MONTGOMERY OBION ROBERTSON
STEWART WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 259
VALID 160920Z - 161040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..MARSH..05/16/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...MEG...PAH...LMK...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 259
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC005-021-023-029-031-045-049-055-063-065-067-075-089-093-111-
121-129-135-137-141-145-161040-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BAXTER CLAY CLEBURNE
CONWAY CRAIGHEAD FAULKNER
FULTON GREENE INDEPENDENCE
IZARD JACKSON LAWRENCE
MARION MISSISSIPPI POINSETT
RANDOLPH SEARCY SHARP
STONE VAN BUREN WHITE
$$
ILC003-059-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-161040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JOHNSON MASSAC POPE
PULASKI SALINE UNION
WILLIAMSON
$$
INC025-123-129-147-163-173-161040-
IN
. INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CRAWFORD PERRY POSEY
SPENCER VANDERBURGH WARRICK
$$
KYC007-027-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091-101-
105-107-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-213-219-221-225-227-
233-161040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BUTLER
CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE
CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS
EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES
GRAYSON HANCOCK HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE
MUHLENBERG OHIO SIMPSON
TODD TRIGG UNION
WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MOC017-023-031-035-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-223-161040-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLLINGER BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU
CARTER DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID PEMISCOT RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD WAYNE
$$
TNC005-017-021-033-043-045-053-079-083-085-095-097-125-131-147-
161-183-161040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CROCKETT DICKSON DYER
GIBSON HENRY HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
MONTGOMERY OBION ROBERTSON
STEWART WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
Low (20%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
|
Low (5%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (50%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Low (20%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (60%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.